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The ‘great offensive’ announced by the russians in winter turned out to be a "flop", but they will have the resources to continue the war in 2023 and, possibly, in 2024. This was said by Andrii Cherniak, a representative f the Defence Intelligence of Ukraine, in an interview for Ukrinform.

“Currently, we see that the russian army is incapable of conducting strategic offensive operations. The so-called ‘great offensive’ announced by propaganda for several months turned out to be a ‘flop’ for russia – they did not get any significant result,” Andrii Cherniak said.

The representative of Ukraine’s military intelligence added that the russians are currently trying to reach the administrative borders of Donetsk and Luhansk regions, but obtained intelligence data allows the Armed Forces of Ukraine to take effective countermeasures and to inflict the occupiers maximum losses. 

“If we talk about an inertial scenario, that is, when the current intensity of hostilities is maintained, then the available resources of the russians will be enough to wage a conventional war in 2023 and, possibly, in 2024. If the sanctions pressure is increased, critical difficulties in the aggressor state will begin earlier,” Andrii Cherniak stressed.

The DIU representative also noted that even now the impact of sanctions on the military industrial complex of the aggressor country is very significant. Now the russians are causing the biggest losses during the entire war, and their production is not able to compensate for this due to a lack of components.